Donald Trump cannot win this war. The only questions are when, and by how much, he will lose. He has indeed boxed himself into a corner, with humiliation staring him in the face every day. He’s desperately seeking some way out of the impasse and then presenting the outcome as an overwhelming US victory, thus saving face. But it won’t happen. Because he has no understanding of the opponent facing him, and absolutely no concept of international diplomacy beyond the ingrained American belief that “might is right”.
The US has always been a global bully, an arrogant, overbearing, pretentious peacock strutting the world stage, but there has usually been a sense that, in Congress and the Constitution, there are fundamental constraints on what any president might do. But no longer.
The loose cannon rampaging around the White House visualises the Americanisation of Iran, but that’s a very ignorant man’s pipe-dream. No matter how many bombs are dropped it’s not possible to erase a country’s cultural heritage dating back thousands of years, despite his threat to destroy “a whole civilisation”.
In fact, if anything, this assault has stifled previously existing and well-publicised internal dissent, leaving America as the common enemy that must be defied at any cost. Through adversity comes strength, and, if anything, Iran appears to be growing stronger as it defies its much more powerful aggressor. Where a dictatorship looms as “America First” does the exact opposite of making America great, leaving it despised, increasingly isolated, and hence weaker on the global stage as former allies walk away.
So what comes next? The simplest resolution would be for America to back off, to recognise that it has made a huge mistake and is not going to “win” on its terms. But can anyone seriously imagine Trump condoning that? So, in Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu we have two wounded animals, each masquerading as a “tough guy”, and with nuclear arsenals at their fingertips, trapped in a corner with their pride and place in history on the line.
The whole region is a powder keg on the brink of a cataclysm while the rest of the world, as outlined in this article, suffers to varying degrees, economically, politically, environmentally, and, worst of all, in the devastating impact on poorer countries.
I agree with Mr Tisdall that radical concerted action is urgently required, a plan with inspired leadership that can successfully overcome this brutal assault on diplomacy and multilateral cooperation. But right now it’s bloody hard to see where that effective opposition will come from, either internationally or domestically.
Meanwhile, Trump and Netanyahu, trapped in a corner and caring nothing about anything other than their massive egos, could decide that peace in the Middle East will only come with the push of a button.
And to hell with the consequences. Literally.
“GazzaFromGrongGrong” - the legendary bard of the Guardian Australia comment section - has struck again!